Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.479906 0.552499 0.631916 0.725190 0.831682 0.949421 1.089419
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.399645 0.503324 0.626711 0.784125 0.979368 1.213339 1.514795
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.332364 0.454589 0.611698 0.827821 1.116759 1.489044 2.004463
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.278071 0.410679 0.593755 0.863741 1.250411 1.782708 2.569440
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.238125 0.377693 0.583560 0.907272 1.401122 2.123318 3.256108
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.198989 0.337561 0.555059 0.918212 1.505790 2.414541 3.920398
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.172535 0.311562 0.542711 0.950655 1.647384 2.781657 4.757818
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.145012 0.277961 0.511457 0.945792 1.726481 3.060280 5.495933
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.126427 0.256249 0.496217 0.964965 1.848351 3.426362 6.435439
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.106228 0.227285 0.462392 0.943813 1.893283 3.663229 7.180690
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.096250 0.216457 0.460758 0.983074 2.056839 4.137657 8.430931
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.088810 0.209372 0.465123 1.034602 2.251817 4.697825 9.924419
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077923 0.192825 0.447517 1.038697 2.353456 5.094756 11.164014
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068150 0.176816 0.428221 1.035826 2.440101 5.474297 12.425985
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.060010 0.163015 0.411397 1.035562 2.532498 5.879462 13.803288
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053404 0.151653 0.398223 1.041512 2.640073 6.333170 15.354466
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048701 0.144282 0.393457 1.067122 2.798447 6.923927 17.303453
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.043155 0.133388 0.377723 1.062164 2.880955 7.349750 18.926264
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039594 0.127380 0.373743 1.087278 3.043741 7.990642 21.160075
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034991 0.117242 0.356594 1.073611 3.102765 8.383712 22.833085
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031985 0.111373 0.350436 1.089718 3.244976 9.008017 25.186333
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.028000 0.101436 0.330487 1.062273 3.261504 9.306851 26.727256
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026416 0.099166 0.333354 1.103717 3.482633 10.185048 29.953919